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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w23629
来源IDWorking Paper 23629
Contagion During the Initial Banking Panic of the Great Depression
Erik Heitfield; Gary Richardson; Shirley Wang
发表日期2017-07-31
出版年2017
语种英语
摘要The initial banking crisis of the Great Depression has been the subject of debate. Some scholars believe a contagious panic spread among financial institutions. Others argue that suspensions surged because fundamentals, such as losses on loans, drove banks out of business. This paper nests those hypotheses in a single econometric framework, a Bayesian hazard rate model with spatial and network effects. New data on correspondent networks and bank locations enables us to determine which hypothesis fits the data best. The best fitting models are ones incorporating network and geographic effects. The results are consistent with the description of events by depression-era bankers, regulators, and newspapers. Contagion - both interbank and spatial - propelled a panic which healthy banks survived but which forced illiquid and insolvent banks out of operations.
主题Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Macroeconomics ; History ; Macroeconomic History ; Financial History
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w23629
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581303
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GB/T 7714
Erik Heitfield,Gary Richardson,Shirley Wang. Contagion During the Initial Banking Panic of the Great Depression. 2017.
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