| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w23646 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 23646 |
| A Survey of Global Impacts of Climate Change: Replication, Survey Methods, and a Statistical Analysis | |
| William D. Nordhaus; Andrew Moffat | |
| 发表日期 | 2017-08-07 |
| 出版年 | 2017 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | The present study has two objectives. The first is a review of studies that estimate the global economic impacts of climate change using a systematic research synthesis (SRS). In this review, we attempt to replicate the impact estimates provided by Tol (2009, 2014) and find a large number of errors and estimates that could not be replicated. The study provides revised estimates for a total of 36 usable estimates from 27 studies. A second part of the study performs a statistical analysis. While the different specifications provide alternative estimates of the damage function, there were no large discrepancies among specifications. The preferred regression is the median, quadratic, weighted regression. The data here omit several important potential damages, which we estimate to add 25% to the quantified damages. With this addition, the estimated impact is -2.04 (± 2.21) % of income at 3 °C warming and -8.06 (± 2.43) % of income at 6 °C warming. We also considered the likelihood of thresholds or sharp convexities in the damage function and found no evidence from the damage estimates of a sharp discontinuity or high convexity. |
| 主题 | Econometrics ; Data Collection ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Environment |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w23646 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581320 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | William D. Nordhaus,Andrew Moffat. A Survey of Global Impacts of Climate Change: Replication, Survey Methods, and a Statistical Analysis. 2017. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w23646.pdf（977KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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