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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w23663 |
来源ID | Working Paper 23663 |
Systematic Managed Floating | |
Jeffrey A. Frankel | |
发表日期 | 2017-08-14 |
出版年 | 2017 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | A majority of countries neither freely float their currencies nor firmly peg. But most of the remainder in practice also don’t obey such well-defined intermediate exchange rate regimes as target zones. This paper proposes to define an intermediate regime, to be called “systematic managed floating,” as an arrangement where the central bank regularly responds to changes in total exchange market pressure by allowing some fraction to be reflected as a change in the exchange rate and the remaining fraction to be absorbed as a change in foreign exchange reserves. An operational criterion for judging systematic managed floaters is a high correlation between exchange rate changes and reserve changes. The paper rejects the view that exchange rate regimes make no difference. In regressions to test effects on real exchange rates, we find that positive external shocks tend to cause real appreciation for most systematic managed-floaters; more strongly so for pure floaters; and not at all for most firm peggers. Two measures of exogenous external shocks are used: (i) for commodity-exporters, a country-specific index of global prices of the export commodities and (ii) for other Asian emerging market economies, the VIX. |
主题 | International Economics ; International Finance ; International Macroeconomics |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w23663 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581337 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Jeffrey A. Frankel. Systematic Managed Floating. 2017. |
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w23663.pdf(1292KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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