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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w23740
来源IDWorking Paper 23740
Credit Growth and the Financial Crisis: A New Narrative
Stefania Albanesi; Giacomo De Giorgi; Jaromir Nosal
发表日期2017-08-28
出版年2017
语种英语
摘要A broadly accepted view contends that the 2007-09 financial crisis in the U.S. was caused by an expansion in the supply of credit to subprime borrowers during the 2001- 2006 credit boom, leading to the spike in defaults and foreclosures that sparked the crisis. We use a large administrative panel of credit file data to examine the evolution of household debt and defaults between 1999 and 2013. Our findings suggest an alternative narrative that challenges the large role of subprime credit in the crisis. We show that credit growth between 2001 and 2007 was concentrated in the prime segment, and debt to high risk borrowers was virtually constant for all debt categories during this period. The rise in mortgage defaults during the crisis was concentrated in the middle of the credit score distribution, and mostly attributable to real estate investors. We argue that previous analyses confounded life cycle debt demand of borrowers who were young at the start of the boom with an expansion in credit supply over that period.
主题Microeconomics ; Households and Firms ; Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Money and Interest Rates ; Financial Economics ; Financial Markets ; Financial Institutions
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w23740
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581413
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GB/T 7714
Stefania Albanesi,Giacomo De Giorgi,Jaromir Nosal. Credit Growth and the Financial Crisis: A New Narrative. 2017.
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