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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w23775 |
来源ID | Working Paper 23775 |
Personalized Pricing and Consumer Welfare | |
Jean-Pierre Dubé; Sanjog Misra | |
发表日期 | 2017-09-11 |
出版年 | 2017 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We study the welfare implications of personalized pricing, an extreme form of third-degree price discrimination implemented with machine learning for a large, digital firm. Using data from a unique randomized controlled pricing field experiment we train a demand model and conduct inference about the effects of personalized pricing on firm and consumer surplus. In a second experiment, we validate our predictions in the field. The initial experiment reveals unexercised market power that allows the firm to raise its price optimally, generating a 55% increase in profits. Personalized pricing improves the firm's expected posterior profits by an additional 19%, relative to the optimized uniform price, and by 86%, relative to the firm's unoptimized status quo price. Turning to welfare effects on the demand side, total consumer surplus declines 23% under personalized pricing relative to uniform pricing, and 47% relative to the firm's unoptimized status quo price. However, over 60% of consumers benefit from lower prices under personalization and total welfare can increase under standard inequity-averse welfare functions. Simulations with our demand estimates reveal a non-monotonic relationship between the granularity of the segmentation data and the total consumer surplus under personalization. These findings indicate a need for caution in the current public policy debate regarding data privacy and personalized pricing insofar as some data restrictions may not per se improve consumer welfare. |
主题 | Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Experimental Design ; Microeconomics ; Market Structure and Distribution ; Industrial Organization ; Market Structure and Firm Performance ; Other ; Accounting, Marketing, and Personnel |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w23775 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581449 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Jean-Pierre Dubé,Sanjog Misra. Personalized Pricing and Consumer Welfare. 2017. |
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w23775.pdf(992KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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