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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w23775
来源IDWorking Paper 23775
Personalized Pricing and Consumer Welfare
Jean-Pierre Dubé; Sanjog Misra
发表日期2017-09-11
出版年2017
语种英语
摘要We study the welfare implications of personalized pricing, an extreme form of third-degree price discrimination implemented with machine learning for a large, digital firm. Using data from a unique randomized controlled pricing field experiment we train a demand model and conduct inference about the effects of personalized pricing on firm and consumer surplus. In a second experiment, we validate our predictions in the field. The initial experiment reveals unexercised market power that allows the firm to raise its price optimally, generating a 55% increase in profits. Personalized pricing improves the firm's expected posterior profits by an additional 19%, relative to the optimized uniform price, and by 86%, relative to the firm's unoptimized status quo price. Turning to welfare effects on the demand side, total consumer surplus declines 23% under personalized pricing relative to uniform pricing, and 47% relative to the firm's unoptimized status quo price. However, over 60% of consumers benefit from lower prices under personalization and total welfare can increase under standard inequity-averse welfare functions. Simulations with our demand estimates reveal a non-monotonic relationship between the granularity of the segmentation data and the total consumer surplus under personalization. These findings indicate a need for caution in the current public policy debate regarding data privacy and personalized pricing insofar as some data restrictions may not per se improve consumer welfare.
主题Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Experimental Design ; Microeconomics ; Market Structure and Distribution ; Industrial Organization ; Market Structure and Firm Performance ; Other ; Accounting, Marketing, and Personnel
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w23775
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581449
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Jean-Pierre Dubé,Sanjog Misra. Personalized Pricing and Consumer Welfare. 2017.
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