G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w23841
来源IDWorking Paper 23841
International Credit Supply Shocks
Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi; Andrea Ferrero; Alessandro Rebucci
发表日期2017-09-25
出版年2017
语种英语
摘要House prices and exchange rates can potentially amplify the expansionary effect of capital inflows by inflating the value of collateral. We first set up a model of collateralized borrowing in domestic and foreign currency with international financial intermediation in which a change in leverage of global intermediaries leads to an international credit supply increase. In this environment, we illustrate how house price increases and exchange rates appreciations contribute to fueling the boom by inflating the value of collateral. We then document empirically, in a Panel VAR model for 50 advanced and emerging countries estimated with quarterly data from 1985 to 2012, that an increase in the leverage of US Broker-Dealers also leads to an increase in cross-border credit flows, a house price and consumption boom, a real exchange rate appreciation and a current account deterioration consistent with the transmission in the model. Finally, we study the sensitivity of the consumption and asset price response to such a shock and show that country differences are associated with the level of the maximum loan-to-value ratio and the share of foreign currency denominated credit.
主题Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Macroeconomics ; Money and Interest Rates ; International Economics ; International Finance ; International Macroeconomics ; Regional and Urban Economics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w23841
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581514
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi,Andrea Ferrero,Alessandro Rebucci. International Credit Supply Shocks. 2017.
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