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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w23844
来源IDWorking Paper 23844
Employment Hysteresis from the Great Recession
Danny Yagan
发表日期2017-09-25
出版年2017
语种英语
摘要This paper uses U.S. local areas as a laboratory to test whether the Great Recession depressed 2015 employment. In full-population longitudinal data, I find that exposure to a 1-percentage-point-larger 2007-2009 local unemployment shock caused working-age individuals to be 0.4 percentage points less likely to be employed at all in 2015, evidently via labor force exit. These shocks also increased 2015 income inequality. General human capital decay and persistently low labor demand each rationalize the findings better than lost job-specific rents, lost firm-specific human capital, or reduced migration. Simple extrapolation suggests the recession caused most of the 2007-2015 age-adjusted employment decline.
主题Macroeconomics ; Public Economics ; Industrial Organization
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w23844
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581517
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Danny Yagan. Employment Hysteresis from the Great Recession. 2017.
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