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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w23928 |
来源ID | Working Paper 23928 |
Artificial Intelligence and Economic Growth | |
Philippe Aghion; Benjamin F. Jones; Charles I. Jones | |
发表日期 | 2017-10-16 |
出版年 | 2017 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper examines the potential impact of artificial intelligence (A.I.) on economic growth. We model A.I. as the latest form of automation, a broader process dating back more than 200 years. Electricity, internal combustion engines, and semiconductors facilitated automation in the last century, but A.I. now seems poised to automate many tasks once thought to be out of reach, from driving cars to making medical recommendations and beyond. How will this affect economic growth and the division of income between labor and capital? What about the potential emergence of “singularities” and “superintelligence,” concepts that animate many discussions in the machine intelligence community? How will the linkages between A.I. and growth be mediated by firm-level considerations, including organization and market structure? The goal throughout is to refine a set of critical questions about A.I. and economic growth and to contribute to shaping an agenda for the field. One theme that emerges is based on Baumol’s “cost disease” insight: growth may be constrained not by what we are good at but rather by what is essential and yet hard to improve. |
主题 | Development and Growth ; Innovation and R& ; D ; Growth and Productivity |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w23928 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581601 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Philippe Aghion,Benjamin F. Jones,Charles I. Jones. Artificial Intelligence and Economic Growth. 2017. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w23928.pdf(498KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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