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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w23941 |
来源ID | Working Paper 23941 |
Place-Based Interventions at Scale: The Direct and Spillover Effects of Policing and City Services on Crime | |
Christopher Blattman; Donald Green; Daniel Ortega; Santiago Tobón | |
发表日期 | 2017-10-16 |
出版年 | 2017 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Cities target police patrols and public services to control crime. What are the direct and spillover effects of such targeted state services? In 2016 the city of Bogotá, Colombia, experimented on an unprecedented scale. They randomly assigned 1,919 streets to either 8 months of doubled police patrols, greater municipal services, both, or neither. We study how crime responds to intensifying normal state presence in moderate- to high-crime streets, and what this implies about criminal behavior. Scale also brings challenges. Spatial spillovers in dense networks introduce bias and complicate variance estimation through “fuzzy clustering.” But a design-based approach and randomization inference produce valid hypothesis tests in such settings. We find that increasing state presence has modest direct impacts, even when focusing on the highest-crime “hot spots.” More intense state presence deters more crime. But in most cases, however, crime appears to displace to neighboring streets. Property crimes seem most easily displaced, while violent crimes may not be. One interpretation is that crimes with a more sustained motive are more likely to displace than crimes of passion, which state presence may more permanently deter. |
主题 | Econometrics ; Experimental Design ; Other ; Law and Economics ; Development and Growth ; Development |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w23941 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581614 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Christopher Blattman,Donald Green,Daniel Ortega,et al. Place-Based Interventions at Scale: The Direct and Spillover Effects of Policing and City Services on Crime. 2017. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w23941.pdf(7558KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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