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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w23941
来源IDWorking Paper 23941
Place-Based Interventions at Scale: The Direct and Spillover Effects of Policing and City Services on Crime
Christopher Blattman; Donald Green; Daniel Ortega; Santiago Tobón
发表日期2017-10-16
出版年2017
语种英语
摘要Cities target police patrols and public services to control crime. What are the direct and spillover effects of such targeted state services? In 2016 the city of Bogotá, Colombia, experimented on an unprecedented scale. They randomly assigned 1,919 streets to either 8 months of doubled police patrols, greater municipal services, both, or neither. We study how crime responds to intensifying normal state presence in moderate- to high-crime streets, and what this implies about criminal behavior. Scale also brings challenges. Spatial spillovers in dense networks introduce bias and complicate variance estimation through “fuzzy clustering.” But a design-based approach and randomization inference produce valid hypothesis tests in such settings. We find that increasing state presence has modest direct impacts, even when focusing on the highest-crime “hot spots.” More intense state presence deters more crime. But in most cases, however, crime appears to displace to neighboring streets. Property crimes seem most easily displaced, while violent crimes may not be. One interpretation is that crimes with a more sustained motive are more likely to displace than crimes of passion, which state presence may more permanently deter.
主题Econometrics ; Experimental Design ; Other ; Law and Economics ; Development and Growth ; Development
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w23941
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581614
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Christopher Blattman,Donald Green,Daniel Ortega,et al. Place-Based Interventions at Scale: The Direct and Spillover Effects of Policing and City Services on Crime. 2017.
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