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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w24032 |
来源ID | Working Paper 24032 |
The Rise and Fall of Local Elections in China: Theory and Empirical Evidence on the Autocrat's Trade-off | |
Monica Martinez-Bravo; Gerard Padró I Miquel; Nancy Qian; Yang Yao | |
发表日期 | 2017-11-20 |
出版年 | 2017 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We propose a simple informational theory to explain why autocratic regimes introduce local elections. Because citizens have better information on local officials than the distant central government, delegation of authority via local elections improves selection and performance of local officials. However, local officials under elections have no incentive to implement unpopular centrally mandated policies. The model makes several predictions: i) elections pose a trade-off between performance and vertical control; ii) elections improve the selection of officials; and iii) an increase in bureaucratic capacity reduces the desirability of elections for the autocrat. To test (i) and (ii), we collect a large village-level panel dataset from rural China. Consistent with the model, we find that elections improve (weaken) the implementation of popular (unpopular) policies, and improve official selection. We provide a large body of qualitative and descriptive evidence to support (iii). In doing so, we shed light on why the Chinese government has systematically undermined village governments twenty years after they were introduced. |
主题 | Development and Growth ; Development ; Other ; Economic Systems |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w24032 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581706 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Monica Martinez-Bravo,Gerard Padró I Miquel,Nancy Qian,et al. The Rise and Fall of Local Elections in China: Theory and Empirical Evidence on the Autocrat's Trade-off. 2017. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w24032.pdf(353KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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