G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w24032
来源IDWorking Paper 24032
The Rise and Fall of Local Elections in China: Theory and Empirical Evidence on the Autocrat's Trade-off
Monica Martinez-Bravo; Gerard Padró I Miquel; Nancy Qian; Yang Yao
发表日期2017-11-20
出版年2017
语种英语
摘要We propose a simple informational theory to explain why autocratic regimes introduce local elections. Because citizens have better information on local officials than the distant central government, delegation of authority via local elections improves selection and performance of local officials. However, local officials under elections have no incentive to implement unpopular centrally mandated policies. The model makes several predictions: i) elections pose a trade-off between performance and vertical control; ii) elections improve the selection of officials; and iii) an increase in bureaucratic capacity reduces the desirability of elections for the autocrat. To test (i) and (ii), we collect a large village-level panel dataset from rural China. Consistent with the model, we find that elections improve (weaken) the implementation of popular (unpopular) policies, and improve official selection. We provide a large body of qualitative and descriptive evidence to support (iii). In doing so, we shed light on why the Chinese government has systematically undermined village governments twenty years after they were introduced.
主题Development and Growth ; Development ; Other ; Economic Systems
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w24032
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581706
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GB/T 7714
Monica Martinez-Bravo,Gerard Padró I Miquel,Nancy Qian,et al. The Rise and Fall of Local Elections in China: Theory and Empirical Evidence on the Autocrat's Trade-off. 2017.
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