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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w24045
来源IDWorking Paper 24045
Socioeconomic Status and Macroeconomic Expectations
Sreyoshi Das; Camelia M. Kuhnen; Stefan Nagel
发表日期2017-11-27
出版年2017
语种英语
摘要We show that individuals' macroeconomic expectations are influenced by their socioeconomic status (SES). People with higher income or higher education are more optimistic about future macroeconomic developments, including business conditions, the national unemployment rate, and stock market returns. The spread in beliefs between high- and low-SES individuals diminishes significantly during recessions. A comparison with professional forecasters and historical data reveals that the beliefs wedge reflects excessive pessimism on the part of low-SES individuals. SES-driven expectations help explain why higher-SES individuals are more inclined to invest in the stock market and more likely to consider purchasing homes, durable goods, or cars.
主题Macroeconomics ; Financial Economics ; Behavioral Finance
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w24045
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581719
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GB/T 7714
Sreyoshi Das,Camelia M. Kuhnen,Stefan Nagel. Socioeconomic Status and Macroeconomic Expectations. 2017.
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