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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w24057
来源IDWorking Paper 24057
Should we Get rid of the Natural Rate Hypothesis?
Olivier J. Blanchard
发表日期2017-11-27
出版年2017
语种英语
摘要50 years ago, Milton Friedman articulated the natural rate hypothesis. It was composed of two sub-hypotheses: First, the natural rate of unemployment is independent of monetary policy. Second, there is no long-run trade-off between the deviation of unemployment from the natural rate and inflation. Both propositions have been challenged. The paper reviews the arguments and the macro and micro evidence against each. It concludes that, in each case, the evidence is suggestive, but not conclusive. Policy makers should keep the natural rate hypothesis as their null hypothesis, but keep an open mind and put some weight on the alternatives.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Monetary Policy
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w24057
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581731
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GB/T 7714
Olivier J. Blanchard. Should we Get rid of the Natural Rate Hypothesis?. 2017.
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