| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w24151 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 24151 |
| Recent Manufacturing Employment Growth: The Exception That Proves the Rule. | |
| Robert Z. Lawrence | |
| 发表日期 | 2017-12-25 |
| 出版年 | 2017 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This Paper challenges two widely held views: first that trade performance has been the primary reason for the declining share of manufacturing employment in the United States and other industrial economies, and second that recent productivity growth in manufacturing has actually been quite rapid but is not accurately measured. The paper shows that for many decades, relatively faster productivity growth interacting with unresponsive demand has been the dominant force behind the declining share of employment in manufacturing in the United States and other industrial economies. It also shows that since 2010, however, the relationship has been reversed and slower productivity growth in manufacturing has been associated with more robust performance in manufacturing employment. These contrasting experiences suggest a tradeoff between the ability of the manufacturing sector to contribute to productivity growth and its ability to provide employment opportunities. While some blame measurement errors for the recently recorded slowdown in manufacturing productivity growth, spending patterns in the United States and elsewhere suggest that the productivity slowdown is real and that thus far fears about robots and other technological advances in manufacturing displacing large numbers of jobs appear misplaced. |
| 主题 | Microeconomics ; Households and Firms ; International Economics ; Trade ; Labor Economics ; Labor Supply and Demand ; Development and Growth ; Development |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w24151 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581825 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Robert Z. Lawrence. Recent Manufacturing Employment Growth: The Exception That Proves the Rule.. 2017. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w24151.pdf（630KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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