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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w24179
来源IDWorking Paper 24179
Rethinking Stabilization Policy: Evolution or Revolution?
Olivier J. Blanchard; Lawrence H. Summers
发表日期2018
出版年2018
语种英语
摘要The obvious lesson from the Great Financial Crisis is that the financial system matters and financial crises will probably happen again. The second, more general, lesson is that the economy is often not self-stabilizing. These two lessons, together with an environment where neutral interest rates are likely to remain low, have clear implications for the design of stabilization policies.
At a minimum, they suggest that policies may need to become more aggressive, both ex-ante and ex-post, with a rebalancing of the roles of monetary, fiscal and financial policies. In particular, while low neutral rates decrease the scope for using monetary policy, they increase the scope for using fiscal policy. Think of such rebalancing as evolution. If however, neutral rates become even lower, or financial regulation turns out to be insufficient to prevent crises, more dramatic measures, including larger fiscal deficits, revised monetary policy targets, or sharper restrictions on the financial system, may be needed. Think of this as revolution. Time will tell.
主题Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Business Cycles ; Money and Interest Rates ; Monetary Policy ; Fiscal Policy
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w24179
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581852
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Olivier J. Blanchard,Lawrence H. Summers. Rethinking Stabilization Policy: Evolution or Revolution?. 2018.
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