| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w24235 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 24235 |
| AI and Jobs: the role of demand | |
| James Bessen | |
| 发表日期 | 2018-01-22 |
| 出版年 | 2018 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Artificial intelligence (AI) technologies will automate many jobs, but the effect on employment is not obvious. In manufacturing, technology has sharply reduced jobs in recent decades. But before that, for over a century, employment grew, even in industries experiencing rapid technological change. What changed? Demand was highly elastic at first and then became inelastic. The effect of artificial intelligence on jobs will similarly depend critically on the nature of demand. This paper presents a simple model of demand that accurately predicts the rise and fall of employment in the textile, steel and automotive industries. This model provides a useful framework for exploring how AI is likely to affect jobs over the next 10 or 20 years. |
| 主题 | History ; Macroeconomic History ; Development and Growth ; Innovation and R& ; D |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w24235 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581908 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | James Bessen. AI and Jobs: the role of demand. 2018. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w24235.pdf（354KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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