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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w24377
来源IDWorking Paper 24377
Sticky Expectations and Consumption Dynamics
Christopher D. Carroll; Edmund Crawley; Jiri Slacalek; Kiichi Tokuoka; Matthew N. White
发表日期2018-03-05
出版年2018
语种英语
摘要Macroeconomic models often invoke consumption “habits” to explain the substantial persistence of aggregate consumption growth. But a large literature has found no evidence of habits in microeconomic datasets that measure the behavior of individual households. We show that the apparent conflict can be explained by a model in which consumers have accurate knowledge of their personal circumstances but ‘sticky expectations’ about the macroeconomy. In our model, the persistence of aggregate consumption growth reflects consumers’ imperfect attention to aggregate shocks. Our proposed degree of (macro) inattention has negligible utility costs, because aggregate shocks constitute only a tiny proportion of the uncertainty that consumers face.
主题Microeconomics ; Economics of Information ; Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Business Cycles
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w24377
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/582050
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GB/T 7714
Christopher D. Carroll,Edmund Crawley,Jiri Slacalek,et al. Sticky Expectations and Consumption Dynamics. 2018.
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