| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w24633 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 24633 |
| The Real Exchange Rate, Innovation and Productivity: Heterogeneity, Asymmetries and Hysteresis | |
| Laura Alfaro; Alejandro Cuñat; Harald Fadinger; Yanping Liu | |
| 发表日期 | 2018-05-21 |
| 出版年 | 2018 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We evaluate manufacturing firms' responses to changes in the real exchange rate (RER) using detailed firm-level data for a large set of countries for the period 2001-2010. We uncover the following stylized facts about regional variation of manufacturing firms' integration into global value chains: firms in emerging Asia are very export oriented relative to their dependence on imported intermediates; firms from Latin America and Eastern Europe depend heavily on imported intermediates compared to their export orientation; firms from high-income countries export on average as much as they import. Motivated by these facts, we build a dynamic model in which real depreciations raise the cost of importing intermediates, affect export demand, borrowing-constraints and the profitability of engaging in innovation (R&D). We decompose the effects of RER changes on average firm-level productivity growth across regions into these channels. We then structurally estimate the model and quantitatively evaluate the different mechanisms by providing counterfactual simulations of temporary RER movements. In export-oriented emerging Asia, real depreciations are on average associated with higher firm-level probabilities to engage in R&D, faster growth of firm-level productivity and cash-flow and higher export entry rates. We find negative average effects for firms in other emerging economies, which are relatively more import dependent, and no significant average effects for firms in industrialized economies. Effects on physical TFP growth, while different across regions, are non-linear and asymmetric. |
| 主题 | International Economics ; Development and Growth ; Development |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w24633 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/582307 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Laura Alfaro,Alejandro Cuñat,Harald Fadinger,et al. The Real Exchange Rate, Innovation and Productivity: Heterogeneity, Asymmetries and Hysteresis. 2018. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w24633.pdf（900KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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