| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w24640 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 24640 |
| Global Melting? The Economics of Disintegration of the Greenland Ice Sheet | |
| William D. Nordhaus | |
| 发表日期 | 2018-05-28 |
| 出版年 | 2018 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Concerns about the impact on large-scale earth systems have taken center stage in the scientific and economic analysis of climate change. The present study analyzes the economic impact of a potential disintegration of the Greenland Ice Sheet (GIS). The method is to combine a small geophysical model of the GIS with the DICE integrated assessment model. The result shows that the GIS is likely to disappear over the next millennium or so without climate policy, but an active climate policy may prevent the GIS from crossing the threshold of irreversibility. Additionally, the study estimates the impact of the GIS on the social cost of carbon (SCC) and finds that adding GIS dynamics would add less than 5% to the SCC under alternative discount rates and estimates of the GIS dynamics. Simulations of geo-engineering options indicate that the dynamics of disintegration and rebuilding are extremely asymmetric, implying that GIS disintegration should be treated as irreversible. |
| 主题 | Public Economics ; Public Goods ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Environment |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w24640 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/582314 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | William D. Nordhaus. Global Melting? The Economics of Disintegration of the Greenland Ice Sheet. 2018. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w24640.pdf（1366KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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