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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w24646
来源IDWorking Paper 24646
Global Portfolio Diversification for Long-Horizon Investors
Luis M. Viceira; Zixuan (Kevin) Wang
发表日期2018-05-28
出版年2018
语种英语
摘要This paper conducts a theoretical and empirical investigation of global portfolio diversification for long-horizon investors in the presence of permanent cash flow shocks and transitory discount rate shocks to asset prices and returns. An increase in the cross-country correlations of cash flow shocks raises the risk of a globally diversified portfolio at all horizons. By contrast, an increase in the cross-country correlations of discount rate shocks has a muted effect on portfolio risk at long horizons and does not diminish the benefits of global portfolio diversification to long-term investors. Empirically, we find that increased correlations of discount rate shocks resulting from financial globalization appear to be the main driver of an estimated secular increase in the cross-country correlations of both stock and bond returns since the late 1990’s. Increased correlations of inflation shocks are also an important source of the shift in bond correlations. By contrast, we don’t find evidence of an increase in the cross-country correlations of equity cash flow news or stock market volatility shocks. Our findings imply that the benefits of global equity diversification have not declined for long horizon investors despite the secular increase in global stock correlations, while the benefits of global bond diversification have declined.
主题International Economics ; International Factor Mobility ; International Finance ; Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w24646
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/582320
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GB/T 7714
Luis M. Viceira,Zixuan . Global Portfolio Diversification for Long-Horizon Investors. 2018.
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