| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w24687 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 24687 |
| A Skeptical View of the Impact of the Fed\u2019s Balance Sheet | |
| David Greenlaw; James D. Hamilton; Ethan Harris; Kenneth D. West | |
| 发表日期 | 2018-06-11 |
| 出版年 | 2018 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We review the recent U.S. monetary policy experience with large scale asset purchases (LSAPs) and draw lessons for monetary policy going forward. A rough consensus from previous studies is that LSAP purchases reduced yields on 10-year Treasuries by about 100 basis points. We argue that the consensus overstates the effect of LSAPs on 10-year yields. We use a larger than usual population of possible events and exploit interpretations provided by the business press. We find that Fed actions and announcements were not a dominant determinant of 10-year yields and that whatever the initial impact of some Fed actions or announcements, the effects tended not to persist. In addition, the announcements and implementation of the balance-sheet reduction do not seem to have affected rates much. Going forward, we expect the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet to stay large. This calls for careful consideration of the maturity distribution of assets on the Fed’s balance sheet. Our conclusion is that the most important and reliable instrument of monetary policy is the short term interest rate, and we discuss the implications of this finding for Fed policy going forward. |
| 主题 | Macroeconomics ; Money and Interest Rates ; Monetary Policy ; Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w24687 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/582359 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | David Greenlaw,James D. Hamilton,Ethan Harris,et al. A Skeptical View of the Impact of the Fed\u2019s Balance Sheet. 2018. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w24687.pdf（1728KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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