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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w24702
来源IDWorking Paper 24702
The Macroeconomics of Border Taxes
Omar Barbiero; Emmanuel Farhi; Gita Gopinath; Oleg Itskhoki
发表日期2018-06-11
出版年2018
语种英语
摘要We analyze the dynamic macroeconomic effects of border adjustment taxes, both when they are a feature of corporate tax reform (C-BAT) and for the case of value added taxes (VAT). Our analysis arrives at the following main conclusions. First, C-BAT is unlikely to be neutral at the macroeconomic level, as the conditions required for neutrality are unrealistic. The basis for neutrality of VAT is even weaker. Second, in response to the introduction of an unanticipated permanent C-BAT of 20% in the U.S. the dollar appreciates strongly, by almost the size of the tax adjustment, U.S. exports and imports decline significantly, while the overall effect on output is small. Third, an equivalent change in VAT by contrast generates only a weak appreciation of the dollar, a small decline in imports and exports, but has a large negative effect on output. Lastly, border taxes increase government revenues in periods of trade deficit, however, given the net foreign asset position of the U.S., they result in a long-run loss of government revenues and an immediate net transfer to the rest of the world.
主题Macroeconomics ; International Economics ; Public Economics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w24702
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/582374
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Omar Barbiero,Emmanuel Farhi,Gita Gopinath,et al. The Macroeconomics of Border Taxes. 2018.
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