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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w24767
来源IDWorking Paper 24767
Expectations with Endogenous Information Acquisition: An Experimental Investigation
Andreas Fuster; Ricardo Perez-Truglia; Mirko Wiederholt; Basit Zafar
发表日期2018-07-02
出版年2018
语种英语
摘要Information frictions play an important role in many theories of expectation formation. We use a survey experiment to generate direct evidence on how people select, acquire and process information. Participants can buy different information signals that could help them forecast future national home prices. We elicit their willingness to pay for information, and introduce exogenous variation in the cost of information. We find that participants put substantial value on their preferred signal and, when acquired, incorporate the signal in their beliefs. However, they disagree on which signal to buy. As a result, making information cheaper does not decrease the cross-sectional dispersion of expectations. We further document that numeracy and the revealed “taste” for accurate expectations are important correlates of heterogeneity in all stages of the process. We provide a model with costly acquisition and processing of information, which can match most of our empirical results.
主题Econometrics ; Data Collection ; Experimental Design ; Microeconomics ; Economics of Information ; Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Business Cycles
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w24767
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/582440
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GB/T 7714
Andreas Fuster,Ricardo Perez-Truglia,Mirko Wiederholt,et al. Expectations with Endogenous Information Acquisition: An Experimental Investigation. 2018.
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