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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w24817
来源IDWorking Paper 24817
Currency Wars? Unconventional Monetary Policy Does Not Stimulate Exports
Andrew K. Rose
发表日期2018-07-16
出版年2018
语种英语
摘要I investigate whether countries that use unconventional monetary policy (UMP) experience export booms. I use a popular gravity model of trade which requires neither the exogeneity of UMP, nor instrumental variables for UMP. In practice, countries that engage in UMP experience a drop in exports vis-á-vis countries that are not engaged in such policies, holding other things constant. Quantitative easing is associated with exports that are about 10% lower to countries not engaged in UMP; this amount is significantly different from zero and similar to the effect of negative nominal interest rates. Thus, there is no evidence that countries have gained export markets through unconventional monetary policy; currency wars that have been launched have also been lost. UMP is also associated with a comparable drop in imports and exchange rates, suggesting that countries engage in UMP when they are experiencing adverse macroeconomic shocks concurrent with those that eviscerate international trade.
主题Macroeconomics ; Monetary Policy ; International Economics ; Trade
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w24817
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/582491
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GB/T 7714
Andrew K. Rose. Currency Wars? Unconventional Monetary Policy Does Not Stimulate Exports. 2018.
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