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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w24895
来源IDWorking Paper 24895
Seasonal Adjustment of NIPA data
Jonathan H. Wright
发表日期2018-08-13
出版年2018
语种英语
摘要In the 2018 comprehensive update of the national income and product accounts, the Bureau of Economic Analysis released not seasonally adjusted data, and modified its seasonal adjustment procedures. I find some indication of residual seasonality in the seasonally adjusted data as published before this update. The evidence for residual seasonality is weaker in the seasonally adjusted data after the update. I also directly seasonally adjusted the aggregate not seasonally adjusted data, and this entirely avoids residual seasonality. The average absolute difference between my seasonally adjusted real GDP data and the current official published version is 1.1 percentage points in quarter-over-quarter annualized growth rates.
主题Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Macroeconomics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w24895
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/582569
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GB/T 7714
Jonathan H. Wright. Seasonal Adjustment of NIPA data. 2018.
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