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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w24978
来源IDWorking Paper 24978
Cognitive Imprecision and Small-Stakes Risk Aversion
Mel Win Khaw; Ziang Li; Michael Woodford
发表日期2018-09-03
出版年2018
语种英语
摘要Observed choices between risky lotteries are difficult to reconcile with expected utility maximization, both because subjects appear to be too risk averse with regard to small gambles for this to be explained by diminishing marginal utility of wealth, as stressed by Rabin (2000), and because subjects' responses involve a random element. We propose a unified explanation for both anomalies, similar to the explanation given for related phenomena in the case of perceptual judgments: they result from judgments based on imprecise (and noisy) mental representations of the decision situation. In this model, risk aversion results from a sort of perceptual bias—but one that represents an optimal decision rule, given the limitations of the mental representation of the situation. We propose a quantitative model of the noisy mental representation of simple lotteries, based on other evidence regarding numerical cognition, and test its ability to explain the choice frequencies that we observe in a laboratory experiment.
主题Econometrics ; Experimental Design ; Microeconomics ; Behavioral Economics ; Economics of Information
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w24978
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/582652
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Mel Win Khaw,Ziang Li,Michael Woodford. Cognitive Imprecision and Small-Stakes Risk Aversion. 2018.
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