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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w25049 |
来源ID | Working Paper 25049 |
Behavior within a Clinical Trial and Implications for Mammography Guidelines | |
Amanda E. Kowalski | |
发表日期 | 2018-09-17 |
出版年 | 2018 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Mammography guidelines have weakened in response to evidence that mammograms diagnose breast cancers that would never eventually cause symptoms, a phenomenon called “overdiagnosis.” Given concerns about overdiagnosis, instead of recommending mammograms, US guidelines encourage women aged 40-49 to get them as they see fit. To assess whether these guidelines target women effectively, I propose an approach that examines mammography behavior within an influential clinical trial that followed participants long enough to find overdiagnosis. I find that women who are more likely to receive mammograms are healthier and have higher socioeconomic status. More importantly, I find that the 20-year level of overdiagnosis is at least 3.5 times higher among women who are most likely to receive mammograms. At least 36% of their cancers are overdiagnosed. These findings imply that US guidelines encourage mammograms among healthier women who are more likely to be overdiagnosed by them. Guidelines in other countries do not. |
主题 | Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w25049 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/582723 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Amanda E. Kowalski. Behavior within a Clinical Trial and Implications for Mammography Guidelines. 2018. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w25049.pdf(568KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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