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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w25077 |
来源ID | Working Paper 25077 |
Skill of the Immigrants and Vote of the Natives: Immigration and Nationalism in European Elections 2007-2016 | |
Simone Moriconi; Giovanni Peri; Riccardo Turati | |
发表日期 | 2018-09-24 |
出版年 | 2018 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | In this paper we document the impact of immigration at the regional level on Europeans’ political preferences as expressed by voting behavior in parliamentary or presidential elections between 2007 and 2016. We combine individual data on party voting with a classification of each party's political agenda on a scale of their "nationalistic" attitudes over 28 elections across 126 parties in 12 countries. To reduce immigrant selection and omitted variable bias, we use immigrant settlements in 2005 and the skill composition of recent immigrant flows as instruments. OLS and IV estimates show that larger inflows of highly educated immigrants were associated with a change in the vote of citizens away from nationalism. However the inflow of less educated immigrants was positively associated with a vote shift towards nationalist positions. These effects were stronger for non-tertiary educated voters and in response to non-European immigrants. We also show that they are consistent with the impact of immigration on individual political preferences, which we estimate using longitudinal data, and on opinions about immigrants. Conversely, immigration did not affect electoral turnout. Simulations based on the estimated coefficients show that immigration policies balancing the number of high-skilled and low-skilled immigrants from outside the EU would be associated with a shift in votes away from nationalist parties in almost all European regions. |
主题 | Microeconomics ; Welfare and Collective Choice ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Education ; Labor Economics ; Unemployment and Immigration |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w25077 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/582750 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Simone Moriconi,Giovanni Peri,Riccardo Turati. Skill of the Immigrants and Vote of the Natives: Immigration and Nationalism in European Elections 2007-2016. 2018. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w25077.pdf(1170KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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