G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w25083
来源IDWorking Paper 25083
Macroprudential FX Regulations: Shifting the Snowbanks of FX Vulnerability?
Toni Ahnert; Kristin Forbes; Christian Friedrich; Dennis Reinhardt
发表日期2018-09-24
出版年2018
语种英语
摘要Can macroprudential foreign exchange (FX) regulations on banks reduce the financial and macroeconomic vulnerabilities created by borrowing in foreign currency? To evaluate the effectiveness and unintended consequences of macroprudential FX regulations, we develop a parsimonious model of bank and market lending in domestic and foreign currency and derive four predictions. We confirm these predictions using a rich dataset of macroprudential FX regulations. These empirical tests show that FX regulations: (1) are effective in terms of reducing borrowing in foreign currency by banks; (2) have the unintended consequence of simultaneously causing firms to increase FX debt issuance; (3) reduce the sensitivity of banks to exchange rate movements, but (4) are less effective at reducing the sensitivity of corporates and the broader financial market to exchange rate movements. As a result, FX regulations on banks appear to be successful in mitigating the vulnerability of banks to exchange rate movements and the global financial cycle, but partially shift the snowbank of FX vulnerability to other sectors.
主题International Economics ; International Finance ; Financial Economics ; Financial Markets ; Financial Institutions
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w25083
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/582756
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Toni Ahnert,Kristin Forbes,Christian Friedrich,et al. Macroprudential FX Regulations: Shifting the Snowbanks of FX Vulnerability?. 2018.
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