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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w25097
来源IDWorking Paper 25097
The Equilibrium Effects of Information Deletion: Evidence from Consumer Credit Markets
Andres Liberman; Christopher Neilson; Luis Opazo; Seth Zimmerman
发表日期2018-10-01
出版年2018
语种英语
摘要This paper studies the equilibrium effects of information restrictions in credit markets using a large-scale natural experiment. In 2012, Chilean credit bureaus were forced to stop reporting defaults for 2.8 million individuals (21% of the adult population). Using panel data on the universe of bank borrowers in Chile combined with the deleted registry information, we implement machine learning techniques to measure changes in the predictions lenders can make about default rates following deletion. Deletion lowers (raises) predicted default the most for poorer defaulters (non-defaulters) with limited borrowing histories. Using a difference-in-differences design, we show that individuals exposed to increases in predicted default reduce borrowing by 6.4% following deletion, while those exposed to decreases raise borrowing by 11.8%. In aggregate, deletion reduces borrowing by 3.5%. Taking the difference-in-difference estimates as inputs into a model of borrowing under adverse selection, we find that deletion reduces surplus under a variety of assumptions about lenders' pricing strategies.
主题Microeconomics ; Households and Firms ; Economics of Information ; Financial Economics ; Financial Institutions
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w25097
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/582770
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GB/T 7714
Andres Liberman,Christopher Neilson,Luis Opazo,et al. The Equilibrium Effects of Information Deletion: Evidence from Consumer Credit Markets. 2018.
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