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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w25130 |
来源ID | Working Paper 25130 |
The Limits and Consequences of Population Policy: Evidence from China\u2019s Wan Xi Shao Campaign | |
Kimberly Singer Babiarz; Paul Ma; Grant Miller; Shige Song | |
发表日期 | 2018-10-08 |
出版年 | 2018 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Prior to the famous One Child Policy, China’s total fertility rate declined by more than 50% during the 1970s - one of the most rapid sustained fertility declines documented in modern history. Coinciding with this transition was China’s first national population policy, Wan Xi Shao, also known as the Longer, Later Fewer (LLF) campaign. Studying LLF’s contribution to fertility and fertility strategies favoring sons, we find that the campaign i) reduced China’s total fertility rate by 0.88 births per woman (explaining 27% of China’s modern fertility decline), ii) doubled the use of male-biased fertility stopping rules, and iii) promoted postnatal selection (implying 200,000 previously unrecognized missing girls). Considering Chinese population policy to be extreme in global experience, our paper demonstrates the limits of population policy in explaining demographic transitions— and its potential human costs. |
主题 | Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w25130 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/582804 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kimberly Singer Babiarz,Paul Ma,Grant Miller,et al. The Limits and Consequences of Population Policy: Evidence from China\u2019s Wan Xi Shao Campaign. 2018. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w25130.pdf(1033KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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