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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w25130
来源IDWorking Paper 25130
The Limits and Consequences of Population Policy: Evidence from China\u2019s Wan Xi Shao Campaign
Kimberly Singer Babiarz; Paul Ma; Grant Miller; Shige Song
发表日期2018-10-08
出版年2018
语种英语
摘要Prior to the famous One Child Policy, China’s total fertility rate declined by more than 50% during the 1970s - one of the most rapid sustained fertility declines documented in modern history. Coinciding with this transition was China’s first national population policy, Wan Xi Shao, also known as the Longer, Later Fewer (LLF) campaign. Studying LLF’s contribution to fertility and fertility strategies favoring sons, we find that the campaign i) reduced China’s total fertility rate by 0.88 births per woman (explaining 27% of China’s modern fertility decline), ii) doubled the use of male-biased fertility stopping rules, and iii) promoted postnatal selection (implying 200,000 previously unrecognized missing girls). Considering Chinese population policy to be extreme in global experience, our paper demonstrates the limits of population policy in explaining demographic transitions— and its potential human costs.
主题Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w25130
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/582804
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Kimberly Singer Babiarz,Paul Ma,Grant Miller,et al. The Limits and Consequences of Population Policy: Evidence from China\u2019s Wan Xi Shao Campaign. 2018.
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