| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w25221 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 25221 |
| The Crucial Role of International Trade in Adaptation to Climate Change | |
| Christophe Gouel; David Laborde | |
| 发表日期 | 2018-11-05 |
| 出版年 | 2018 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Climate change effects on agricultural yields will be uneven over the world with a few countries, mostly in high latitudes, that may experience gains, while most will see average yield decrease. This paper aims at quantifying the role of international trade in attenuating the effects of climate change by allowing the expression of the new climate-induced pattern of comparative advantages. To do this, we develop a quantitative general equilibrium trade model where the representation of acreage and land use choices is inspired from modern Ricardian trade models but also consistent with theoretical and empirical literature on land use choices. The model is calibrated on spatially explicit information about potential yields before and after climate change coming from the agronomic literature. The results show that the climate-induced yield changes generate large price movements that incentivize adjustments in acreage and trade. The new trade pattern is very different from the current one, showing the important role of trade flows in adapting to climate change. This is confirmed by larger welfare losses from climate change when adjustments in trade flows are constrained versus when they are not. |
| 主题 | Microeconomics ; General Equilibrium ; International Economics ; Trade ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Agriculture ; Environment ; Regional and Urban Economics ; Regional Economics |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w25221 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/582895 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Christophe Gouel,David Laborde. The Crucial Role of International Trade in Adaptation to Climate Change. 2018. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w25221.pdf（925KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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