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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w25225 |
来源ID | Working Paper 25225 |
Behavioral Feedback: Do Individual Choices Influence Scientific Results? | |
Emily Oster | |
发表日期 | 2018-11-05 |
出版年 | 2018 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | In many health domains, we are concerned that observed links - for example, between “healthy” behaviors and good outcomes - are driven by selection into behavior. This paper considers the additional factor that these selection patterns may vary over time. When a particular health behavior becomes more recommended, the take-up of the behavior may be larger among people with other positive health behaviors. Such changes in selection would make it even more difficult to learn about causal effects. I formalize this change in selection in a simple model. I test for evidence of these patterns in the context of diet and vitamin supplementation. Using both microdata and evidence from published results I show that selection varies over time with recommendations about behavior and that estimates of the relationship between health outcomes and health behaviors vary over time in the same way. I show that adjustment for selection on observables is insufficient to address the bias. I suggest a possible robustness approach relying on assumptions about proportional selection of observed and unobserved variables. |
主题 | Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w25225 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/582899 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Emily Oster. Behavioral Feedback: Do Individual Choices Influence Scientific Results?. 2018. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w25225.pdf(534KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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