| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w25328 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 25328 |
| The Long-run Impact of New Medical Ideas on Cancer Survival and Mortality | |
| Frank R. Lichtenberg | |
| 发表日期 | 2018-12-10 |
| 出版年 | 2018 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | I investigate whether the types of cancer (breast, colon, lung, etc.) subject to greater penetration of new ideas had larger subsequent survival gains and mortality reductions, controlling for changing incidence. I use the MEDLINE/PubMED database, which contains more than 23 million references to journal articles published in 5400 leading biomedical journals, to construct longitudinal measures of the penetration of new medical ideas. The 5-year survival rate is strongly positively related to the novelty of ideas in articles published 12-24 years earlier. This finding is consistent with evidence from case studies that it takes a long time for research evidence to reach clinical practice. The estimates suggest that about 70% of the 1994-2008 increase in the 5-year observed survival rate for all cancer sites combined may have been due to the increase in the novelty of medical ideas 12-24 years earlier. The number of years of potential life lost from cancer before ages 80 and 70 are inversely related to the novelty of ideas in articles published 12-24 years earlier, conditional on incidence. The increase in medical idea novelty was estimated to have caused a 38% decline in the premature (before age 80) cancer mortality rate 12-24 years later. |
| 主题 | Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Development and Growth ; Innovation and R& ; D |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w25328 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583001 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Frank R. Lichtenberg. The Long-run Impact of New Medical Ideas on Cancer Survival and Mortality. 2018. |
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| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w25328.pdf（381KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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