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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w25380
来源IDWorking Paper 25380
Exchange Rates and Uncovered Interest Di\ufb00erentials: The Role of Permanent Monetary Shocks
Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé; Martín Uribe
发表日期2018-12-24
出版年2018
语种英语
摘要This paper estimates an empirical model of exchange rates and uncovered interest rate differentials with permanent U.S. monetary policy shocks. Using post-Bretton-Woods data from the United States, the United Kingdom, Japan, and Canada, it reports two main findings: First, monetary shocks that increase the U.S. nominal interest rate and inflation in the long run depreciate the dollar in nominal and real terms in the short run. Second, permanent increases in the U.S. interest rate cause short-run deviations from uncovered interest-rate parity against U.S. assets. The signs of these effects are opposite to those reported in the related literature for transitory monetary policy shocks. The estimated responses to transitory and permanent monetary shocks are shown to be qualitatively consistent with the predictions of a new Keynesian model of the open economy with portfolio adjustment costs.
主题Macroeconomics ; Money and Interest Rates ; International Economics ; International Finance ; International Macroeconomics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w25380
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583054
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Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé,Martín Uribe. Exchange Rates and Uncovered Interest Di\ufb00erentials: The Role of Permanent Monetary Shocks. 2018.
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