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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w25434
来源IDWorking Paper 25434
The Effect of Minimum Wages on Low-Wage Jobs: Evidence from the United States Using a Bunching Estimator
Doruk Cengiz; Arindrajit Dube; Attila Lindner; Ben Zipperer
发表日期2019-01-14
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要We propose a novel method that infers the employment effect of a minimum wage increase by comparing the number of excess jobs paying at or slightly above the new minimum wage to the missing jobs paying below it. To implement our approach, we estimate the effect of the minimum wage on the frequency distribution of hourly wages using 138 prominent state-level minimum wage changes between 1979 and 2016. We find that the overall number of low-wage jobs remained essentially unchanged over five years following the increase. At the same time, the direct effect of the minimum wage on average earnings was amplified by modest wage spillovers at the bottom of the wage distribution. Our estimates by detailed demographic groups show that the lack of job loss is not explained by labor-labor substitution at the bottom of the wage distribution. We also find no evidence of disemployment when we consider higher levels of minimum wages. However, we do find some evidence of reduced employment in tradable sectors. In contrast to our bunching-based estimates, we show that some conventional studies can produce misleading inference due to spurious changes in employment higher up in the wage distribution.
主题Labor Economics ; Labor Supply and Demand ; Labor Compensation
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w25434
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583108
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Doruk Cengiz,Arindrajit Dube,Attila Lindner,et al. The Effect of Minimum Wages on Low-Wage Jobs: Evidence from the United States Using a Bunching Estimator. 2019.
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