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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w25585 |
来源ID | Working Paper 25585 |
Digital Abundance and Scarce Genius: Implications for Wages, Interest Rates, and Growth | |
Seth G. Benzell; Erik Brynjolfsson | |
发表日期 | 2019-02-25 |
出版年 | 2019 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Digital versions of labor and capital can be reproduced much more cheaply than their traditional forms. This increases the supply and reduces the marginal cost of both labor and capital. What then, if anything, is becoming scarcer? We posit a third factor, ‘genius’, that cannot be duplicated by digital technologies. Our approach resolves several macroeconomic puzzles. Over the last several decades, both real median wages and the real interest rate have been stagnant or falling in the United States and the World. Furthermore, shares of income paid to labor and capital (properly measured) have also decreased. And despite dramatic advances in digital technologies, the growth rate of measured output has not increased. No competitive neoclassical two-factor model can reconcile these trends. We show that when increasingly digitized capital and labor are sufficiently complementary to inelastically supplied genius, innovation augmenting either of the first two factors can decrease wages and interest rates in the short and long run. Growth is increasingly constrained by the scarce input, not labor or capital. We discuss microfoundations for genius, with a focus on the increasing importance of superstar labor. We also consider consequences for government policy and scale sustainability. |
主题 | Microeconomics ; Economics of Information ; Development and Growth ; Development ; Innovation and R& ; D ; Growth and Productivity |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w25585 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583259 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Seth G. Benzell,Erik Brynjolfsson. Digital Abundance and Scarce Genius: Implications for Wages, Interest Rates, and Growth. 2019. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w25585.pdf(770KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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