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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w25585
来源IDWorking Paper 25585
Digital Abundance and Scarce Genius: Implications for Wages, Interest Rates, and Growth
Seth G. Benzell; Erik Brynjolfsson
发表日期2019-02-25
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要Digital versions of labor and capital can be reproduced much more cheaply than their traditional forms. This increases the supply and reduces the marginal cost of both labor and capital. What then, if anything, is becoming scarcer? We posit a third factor, ‘genius’, that cannot be duplicated by digital technologies. Our approach resolves several macroeconomic puzzles. Over the last several decades, both real median wages and the real interest rate have been stagnant or falling in the United States and the World. Furthermore, shares of income paid to labor and capital (properly measured) have also decreased. And despite dramatic advances in digital technologies, the growth rate of measured output has not increased. No competitive neoclassical two-factor model can reconcile these trends. We show that when increasingly digitized capital and labor are sufficiently complementary to inelastically supplied genius, innovation augmenting either of the first two factors can decrease wages and interest rates in the short and long run. Growth is increasingly constrained by the scarce input, not labor or capital. We discuss microfoundations for genius, with a focus on the increasing importance of superstar labor. We also consider consequences for government policy and scale sustainability.
主题Microeconomics ; Economics of Information ; Development and Growth ; Development ; Innovation and R& ; D ; Growth and Productivity
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w25585
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583259
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Seth G. Benzell,Erik Brynjolfsson. Digital Abundance and Scarce Genius: Implications for Wages, Interest Rates, and Growth. 2019.
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