| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w25707 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 25707 |
| Wishful Thinking | |
| Andrew Caplin; John V. Leahy | |
| 发表日期 | 2019-04-01 |
| 出版年 | 2019 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We model agents who get utility from their beliefs and therefore interpret information optimistically. They may exhibit several biases observed in psychological studies such as optimism, procrastination, confirmation bias, polarization, and the endowment effect. In some formulations, they exhibit these biases even though they are subjectively Bayesian. We argue that wishful thinking can lead to reduced saving, can make possible information-based trade, and can generate asset bubbles. |
| 主题 | Microeconomics ; Economics of Information ; Behavioral Economics ; Macroeconomics |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w25707 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583381 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Andrew Caplin,John V. Leahy. Wishful Thinking. 2019. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w25707.pdf（485KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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