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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w25728
来源IDWorking Paper 25728
The Impact of Global Warming on Rural-Urban Migrations: Evidence from Global Big Data
Giovanni Peri; Akira Sasahara
发表日期2019-04-08
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要This paper examines the impact of temperature changes on rural-urban migration using a 56km×56km grid cell level dataset covering the whole world at 10-year frequency during the period 1970-2000. We find that rising temperatures reduce rural-urban migration in poor countries and increase such migration in middle-income countries. These asymmetric migration responses are consistent with a simple model where rural-urban earnings differentials and liquidity constraints interact to determine rural-to-urban migration flows. We also confirm these temperature effects using country-level observations constructed by aggregating the grid cell level data. We project that expected warming in the next century will encourage further urbanization in middle-income countries such as Argentina, but it will slow down urban transition in poor countries like Malawi and Niger.
主题Labor Economics ; Unemployment and Immigration ; Development and Growth ; Development ; Regional and Urban Economics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w25728
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583402
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Giovanni Peri,Akira Sasahara. The Impact of Global Warming on Rural-Urban Migrations: Evidence from Global Big Data. 2019.
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