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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w25728 |
来源ID | Working Paper 25728 |
The Impact of Global Warming on Rural-Urban Migrations: Evidence from Global Big Data | |
Giovanni Peri; Akira Sasahara | |
发表日期 | 2019-04-08 |
出版年 | 2019 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper examines the impact of temperature changes on rural-urban migration using a 56km×56km grid cell level dataset covering the whole world at 10-year frequency during the period 1970-2000. We find that rising temperatures reduce rural-urban migration in poor countries and increase such migration in middle-income countries. These asymmetric migration responses are consistent with a simple model where rural-urban earnings differentials and liquidity constraints interact to determine rural-to-urban migration flows. We also confirm these temperature effects using country-level observations constructed by aggregating the grid cell level data. We project that expected warming in the next century will encourage further urbanization in middle-income countries such as Argentina, but it will slow down urban transition in poor countries like Malawi and Niger. |
主题 | Labor Economics ; Unemployment and Immigration ; Development and Growth ; Development ; Regional and Urban Economics |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w25728 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583402 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Giovanni Peri,Akira Sasahara. The Impact of Global Warming on Rural-Urban Migrations: Evidence from Global Big Data. 2019. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w25728.pdf(1414KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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