| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w25741 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 25741 |
| Trade, Technology, and the Great Divergence | |
| Kevin Hjortshøj O'; Rourke; Ahmed Rahman; Alan M. Taylor | |
| 发表日期 | 2019-04-15 |
| 出版年 | 2019 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Why did per capita income divergence occur so dramatically during the 19th century, rather than at the outset of the Industrial Revolution? How were some countries able to reverse this trend during the globalization of the late 20th century? To answer these questions, this paper develops a trade-and-growth model that captures the key features of the Industrial Revolution and Great Divergence between a core industrializing region and a peripheral and potentially lagging region. The model includes both endogenous biased technological change and intercontinental trade. An Industrial Revolution begins as a sequence of more unskilled-labor-intensive innovations in both regions. We show that the subsequent co-evolution of trade and directed technologies can create a delayed but inevitable divergence in demographics and living standards—the peripheral region increasingly specializes in production that worsens its terms of trade and spurs even greater fertility increases and educational declines. Allowing for eventual technological diffusion between regions can mitigate and even reverse divergence, spurring a reversal of fortune for peripheral regions. |
| 主题 | International Economics ; Trade ; International Macroeconomics ; Globalization and International Relations ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Labor Supply and Demand ; History ; Macroeconomic History ; Labor and Health History ; Development and Growth ; Development ; Innovation and R& ; D ; Growth and Productivity |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w25741 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583415 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kevin Hjortshøj O',Rourke,Ahmed Rahman,et al. Trade, Technology, and the Great Divergence. 2019. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w25741.pdf（2329KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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