| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w25771 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 25771 |
| What Does an Electric Vehicle Replace? | |
| Jianwei Xing; Benjamin Leard; Shanjun Li | |
| 发表日期 | 2019-04-22 |
| 出版年 | 2019 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | The emissions reductions from the adoption of a new transportation technology depend on the emissions from the new technology relative to those from the displaced technology. We evaluate the emissions reductions from electric vehicles (EVs) by identifying which vehicles would have been purchased had EVs not been available. We do so by estimating a random coefficients discrete choice model of new vehicle demand and simulating counterfactual sales with EVs no longer subsidized or removed from the new vehicle market. Our results suggest that vehicles that EVs replace are relatively fuel-efficient: EVs replace gasoline vehicles with an average fuel economy of 4.2 mpg above the fleet-wide average and 12 percent of them replace hybrid vehicles. This implies that ignoring the non-random replacement of gasoline vehicles would result in overestimating emissions benefits of EVs by 39 percent. Federal income tax credits resulted in a 29 percent increase in EV sales, but 70 percent of the credits were obtained by households that would have bought an EV without the credits. By simulating alternative subsidy designs, we find that a subsidy designed to provide greater incentives to low-income households would have been more cost effective and less regressive. |
| 主题 | Environmental and Resource Economics ; Energy ; Environment |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w25771 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583445 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Jianwei Xing,Benjamin Leard,Shanjun Li. What Does an Electric Vehicle Replace?. 2019. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w25771.pdf（797KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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