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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w25807
来源IDWorking Paper 25807
Bank Risk Dynamics and Distance to Default
Stefan Nagel; Amiyatosh Purnanandam
发表日期2019-05-06
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要We adapt structural models of default risk to take into account the special nature of bank assets. The usual assumption of log-normally distributed asset values is not appropriate for banks. Typical bank assets are risky debt claims, which implies that they embed a short put option on the borrowers’ assets, leading to a concave payoff. This has important consequences for banks’ risk dynamics and distance to default estimation. Due to the payoff non-linearity, bank asset volatility rises following negative shocks to borrower asset values. As a result, standard structural models in which the asset volatility is assumed to be constant can severely understate banks’ default risk in good times when asset values are high. Bank equity payoffs resemble a mezzanine claim rather than a call option. Bank equity return volatility is therefore much more sensitive to big negative shocks to asset values than in standard structural models.
主题Financial Economics ; Financial Institutions ; Corporate Finance
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w25807
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583480
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GB/T 7714
Stefan Nagel,Amiyatosh Purnanandam. Bank Risk Dynamics and Distance to Default. 2019.
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