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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w25820
来源IDWorking Paper 25820
On the Empirical (Ir)Relevance of the Zero Lower Bound Constraint
Davide Debortoli; Jordi Galí; Luca Gambetti
发表日期2019-05-13
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要The zero lower bound (ZLB) irrelevance hypothesis implies that the economy's performance is not affected by a binding ZLB constraint. We evaluate that hypothesis for the recent ZLB episode experienced by the U.S. economy (2009Q1-2015Q4). We focus on two dimensions of performance that were likely to have experienced the impact of a binding ZLB: (i) the volatility of macro variables and (ii) the economy's response to shocks. Using a variety of empirical methods, we find little evidence against the irrelevance hypothesis, with our estimates suggesting that the responses of output, inflation and the long-term interest rate were hardly affected by the binding ZLB constraint, possibly as a result of the adoption and fine-tuning of unconventional monetary policies. We can reconcile our empirical findings with the predictions of a simple New Keynesian model under the assumption of a shadow interest rate rule.
主题Macroeconomics ; Money and Interest Rates ; Monetary Policy
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w25820
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583493
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Davide Debortoli,Jordi Galí,Luca Gambetti. On the Empirical (Ir)Relevance of the Zero Lower Bound Constraint. 2019.
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