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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w25830
来源IDWorking Paper 25830
Trade Blocs and Trade Wars during the Interwar Period
David S. Jacks; Dennis Novy
发表日期2019-05-13
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要What precisely were the causes and consequences of the trade wars in the 1930s? Were there perhaps deeper forces at work in reorienting global trade prior to the outbreak of World War II? And what lessons may this particular historical episode provide for the present day? To answer these questions, we distinguish between long-run secular trends in the period from 1920 to 1939 related to the formation of trade blocs (in particular, the British Commonwealth) and short-run disruptions associated with the trade wars of the 1930s (in particular, large and widespread declines in bilateral trade, the narrowing of trade imbalances, and sharp drops in average traded distances). We argue that the trade wars mainly served to intensify pre-existing efforts towards the formation of trade blocs which dated from at least 1920. More speculatively, we argue that the trade wars of the present day may serve a similar purpose as those in the 1930s, that is, the intensification of China- and US-centric trade blocs.
主题International Economics ; Trade ; International Finance ; History ; Other History
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w25830
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583502
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David S. Jacks,Dennis Novy. Trade Blocs and Trade Wars during the Interwar Period. 2019.
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