| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w25844 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 25844 |
| The Illusion of Stable Preferences over Major Life Decisions | |
| Maximilian W. Mueller; Joan Hamory Hicks; Jennifer Johnson-Hanks; Edward Miguel | |
| 发表日期 | 2019-05-20 |
| 出版年 | 2019 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We examine the stability of preferences over time using panel data from Kenya on fertility intentions, realizations, and recall of intentions. We find that desired fertility is very unstable, but that most people perceive their desires to be stable. Under hypothetical scenarios, few expect their desired fertility to increase over time. Moreover, when asked to recall past intentions, most respondents report previously wanting exactly as many children as they desire today. Biased recall of preferences over a major life decision could have important implications for measuring excess fertility, the evolution of norms, and the perceived need for family planning programs. |
| 主题 | Microeconomics ; Economics of Information ; Behavioral Economics ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Development and Growth ; Development |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w25844 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583517 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Maximilian W. Mueller,Joan Hamory Hicks,Jennifer Johnson-Hanks,et al. The Illusion of Stable Preferences over Major Life Decisions. 2019. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w25844.pdf（471KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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