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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w25851
来源IDWorking Paper 25851
Can Financial Participants Improve Price Discovery and Efficiency in Multi-Settlement Markets with Trading Costs?
Akshaya Jha; Frank A. Wolak
发表日期2019-05-20
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要The introduction of purely financial participants into commodity markets is thought to yield forward prices that better reflect future spot prices, and ultimately, more efficient future production and consumption decisions. However, there are sizable transaction costs associated with trading in most commodity markets. This paper develops a statistical test of the null hypothesis that expected forward/spot price spreads cannot be arbitraged even after accounting for these transactions costs. We apply this test to hourly, location-specific day-ahead and real-time prices from California's wholesale electricity market. The implied trading cost required to reject the null hypothesis of no profitable arbitrage opportunities falls significantly after California allowed purely financial participation. Moreover, variable input costs per MWh of electricity produced fell by 3.6% in high demand hours after the introduction of purely financial participants. Combined, our evidence supports the hypothesis that the introduction of purely financial participants into the California wholesale electricity market decreased the average difference and the volatility of the difference between day-ahead and real-time prices, which ultimately lowered the total variable cost of serving demand
主题Financial Economics ; Financial Markets ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Energy
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w25851
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583524
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Akshaya Jha,Frank A. Wolak. Can Financial Participants Improve Price Discovery and Efficiency in Multi-Settlement Markets with Trading Costs?. 2019.
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