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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w25851 |
来源ID | Working Paper 25851 |
Can Financial Participants Improve Price Discovery and Efficiency in Multi-Settlement Markets with Trading Costs? | |
Akshaya Jha; Frank A. Wolak | |
发表日期 | 2019-05-20 |
出版年 | 2019 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | The introduction of purely financial participants into commodity markets is thought to yield forward prices that better reflect future spot prices, and ultimately, more efficient future production and consumption decisions. However, there are sizable transaction costs associated with trading in most commodity markets. This paper develops a statistical test of the null hypothesis that expected forward/spot price spreads cannot be arbitraged even after accounting for these transactions costs. We apply this test to hourly, location-specific day-ahead and real-time prices from California's wholesale electricity market. The implied trading cost required to reject the null hypothesis of no profitable arbitrage opportunities falls significantly after California allowed purely financial participation. Moreover, variable input costs per MWh of electricity produced fell by 3.6% in high demand hours after the introduction of purely financial participants. Combined, our evidence supports the hypothesis that the introduction of purely financial participants into the California wholesale electricity market decreased the average difference and the volatility of the difference between day-ahead and real-time prices, which ultimately lowered the total variable cost of serving demand |
主题 | Financial Economics ; Financial Markets ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Energy |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w25851 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583524 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Akshaya Jha,Frank A. Wolak. Can Financial Participants Improve Price Discovery and Efficiency in Multi-Settlement Markets with Trading Costs?. 2019. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w25851.pdf(803KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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