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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w26002
来源IDWorking Paper 26002
The Federal Reserve\u2019s Current Framework for Monetary Policy: A Review and Assessment
Janice C. Eberly; James H. Stock; Jonathan H. Wright
发表日期2019-06-24
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要We review and assess the monetary policy framework currently used by the Federal Reserve, with special focus on policies that operate through the slope of the term structure, including forward guidance and large scale asset purchases. These slope policies are important at the zero lower bound. We study the performance of counterfactual monetary policies since the Great Recession in the framework of a structural VAR, identified using high-frequency jumps in asset prices around FOMC meetings as external instruments. The intention is to give guidance to policymakers responding to future downturns. In our counterfactuals, we find that slope policies played an important role in supporting the recovery, but did not fully circumvent the zero lower bound. In our simulations, earlier and more aggressive use of slope policies support a faster recovery. The recovery would also have been faster, with the unemployment gap closing seven quarters earlier, if the Fed had inherited a higher level of inflation and nominal interest rates consistent with a higher inflation target coming into the financial crisis recession.
主题Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Macroeconomics ; Money and Interest Rates ; Monetary Policy
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w26002
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583676
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Janice C. Eberly,James H. Stock,Jonathan H. Wright. The Federal Reserve\u2019s Current Framework for Monetary Policy: A Review and Assessment. 2019.
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