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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w26031 |
来源ID | Working Paper 26031 |
On the Global Impact of Risk-off Shocks and Policy-put Frameworks | |
Ricardo J. Caballero; Gunes Kamber | |
发表日期 | 2019-07-08 |
出版年 | 2019 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Global risk-off shocks can be highly destabilizing for financial markets and, absent an adequate policy response, may trigger severe recessions. Policy responses were more complex for developed economies with very low interest rates after the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). We document, however, that the unconventional policies adopted by the main central banks were effective in containing asset price declines. These policies impacted long rates and inspired confidence in a policy-put framework that reduced the persistence of risk-off shocks. We also show that domestic macroeconomic and financial conditions play a key role in benefiting from the spillovers of these policies during risk-off episodes. Countries like Japan, which already had very low long rates, benefited less. However, Japan still benefitted from the reduced persistence of risk-off shocks. In contrast, since one of the main channels through which emerging markets are historically affected by global risk-off shocks is through a sharp rise in long rates, the unconventional monetary policy phase has been relatively benign to emerging markets during these episodes, especially for those economies with solid macroeconomic fundamentals and deep domestic financial markets. We also show that unconventional monetary policy in the US had strong effects on long interest rates in most economies in the Asia-Pacific region (which helps during risk-off events but may be destabilizing otherwise—we do not take a stand on this tradeoff). |
主题 | Macroeconomics ; Money and Interest Rates ; Monetary Policy ; International Economics ; International Finance ; International Macroeconomics ; Financial Economics |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w26031 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583705 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ricardo J. Caballero,Gunes Kamber. On the Global Impact of Risk-off Shocks and Policy-put Frameworks. 2019. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w26031.pdf(1127KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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