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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w26031
来源IDWorking Paper 26031
On the Global Impact of Risk-off Shocks and Policy-put Frameworks
Ricardo J. Caballero; Gunes Kamber
发表日期2019-07-08
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要Global risk-off shocks can be highly destabilizing for financial markets and, absent an adequate policy response, may trigger severe recessions. Policy responses were more complex for developed economies with very low interest rates after the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). We document, however, that the unconventional policies adopted by the main central banks were effective in containing asset price declines. These policies impacted long rates and inspired confidence in a policy-put framework that reduced the persistence of risk-off shocks. We also show that domestic macroeconomic and financial conditions play a key role in benefiting from the spillovers of these policies during risk-off episodes. Countries like Japan, which already had very low long rates, benefited less. However, Japan still benefitted from the reduced persistence of risk-off shocks. In contrast, since one of the main channels through which emerging markets are historically affected by global risk-off shocks is through a sharp rise in long rates, the unconventional monetary policy phase has been relatively benign to emerging markets during these episodes, especially for those economies with solid macroeconomic fundamentals and deep domestic financial markets. We also show that unconventional monetary policy in the US had strong effects on long interest rates in most economies in the Asia-Pacific region (which helps during risk-off events but may be destabilizing otherwise—we do not take a stand on this tradeoff).
主题Macroeconomics ; Money and Interest Rates ; Monetary Policy ; International Economics ; International Finance ; International Macroeconomics ; Financial Economics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w26031
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583705
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Ricardo J. Caballero,Gunes Kamber. On the Global Impact of Risk-off Shocks and Policy-put Frameworks. 2019.
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