G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w26106
来源IDWorking Paper 26106
How Does Consumption Respond to News about Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial
Olivier Coibion; Dimitris Georgarakos; Yuriy Gorodnichenko; Maarten van Rooij
发表日期2019-07-29
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要We implement a survey of Dutch households in which random subsets of respondents receive information about inflation. The resulting exogenously generated variation in inflation expectations is used to assess how expectations affect subsequent monthly consumption decisions relative to those in a control group. The causal effects of elevated inflation expectations on non-durable spending are imprecisely estimated but there is a sharp negative effect on durable spending. We provide evidence that this is likely driven by the fact that Dutch households seem to become more pessimistic about their real income as well as aggregate spending when they increase their inflation expectations. There is little evidence to support the idea that the degree to which respondents change their beliefs or their spending in response to information treatments depends on their level of cognitive or financial constraints.
主题Econometrics ; Data Collection ; Microeconomics ; Economics of Information ; Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w26106
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583779
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GB/T 7714
Olivier Coibion,Dimitris Georgarakos,Yuriy Gorodnichenko,et al. How Does Consumption Respond to News about Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial. 2019.
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