G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w26131
来源IDWorking Paper 26131
Dissecting Saving Dynamics: Measuring Wealth, Precautionary, and Credit Effects
Christopher D. Carroll; Jiri Slacalek; Martin Sommer
发表日期2019-08-05
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要We show that an estimated tractable ‘buffer stock saving’ model can match the 30-year decline in the U.S. saving rate leading up to 2007, the sharp increase during the Great Recession, and much of the intervening business cycle variation. In the model, saving depends on the gap between ‘target’ and actual wealth, with the target determined by measured credit availability and measured unemployment expectations. Following financial deregulation starting in the late 1970s, expanding credit supply explains the trend decline in saving, while fluctuations in wealth and consumer-survey-measured unemployment expectations capture much of the business-cycle variation, including the sharp rise during the Great Recession.
主题Microeconomics ; Households and Firms ; Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Money and Interest Rates
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w26131
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583805
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Christopher D. Carroll,Jiri Slacalek,Martin Sommer. Dissecting Saving Dynamics: Measuring Wealth, Precautionary, and Credit Effects. 2019.
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