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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w26181
来源IDWorking Paper 26181
Business Cycle during Structural Change: Arthur Lewis' Theory from a Neoclassical Perspective.
Kjetil Storesletten; Bo Zhao; Fabrizio Zilibotti
发表日期2019-08-26
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要We document that the nature of business cycles evolves over the process of development and structural change. In countries with large declining agricultural sectors, aggregate employment is uncorrelated with GDP. During booms, employment in agriculture declines while labor productivity increases in agriculture more than in other sectors. We construct a unified theory of business cycles and structural change consistent with the stylized facts. The focal point of the theory is the simultaneous decline and modernization of agriculture. As capital accumulates, agriculture becomes increasingly capital intensive as modern agriculture crowds out traditional agriculture. Structural change accelerates in booms and slows down in recessions. We estimate the model and show that it accounts well for both the structural transformation and the business cycle fluctuations of China.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Development and Growth ; Development ; Growth and Productivity ; Country Studies ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Agriculture
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w26181
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583853
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Kjetil Storesletten,Bo Zhao,Fabrizio Zilibotti. Business Cycle during Structural Change: Arthur Lewis' Theory from a Neoclassical Perspective.. 2019.
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